PoE2 Currency Analysis: Finding Flip Opportunities in a Market Crash

PoE2 Currency Analysis: How to Profit When the Market Crashes

Welcome, Exile. The poe2 market can be volatile. Last week, between September 1st and 7th, we saw a massive drop in the value of many basic poe2 currency items. When prices fall, it's natural to panic. But a market crash isn't just a threat—it's also an opportunity.

This poe2 currency analysis will review what happened and explore a crucial question: how can you protect your wealth and even find profitable trades during a market downturn?

The Background: A Market in Freefall

As we can see from the charts, core currencies like the Chaos Orb, Divine Orb, and Orb of Annulment were in a steep decline from September 3rd until a sudden rebound late on September 6th.

Watching your assets lose value is stressful. So, what kind of items hold their value in a crash?

How to Find What to Flip During a Downturn

So, how do you find stable items when the general market is falling? The key is to develop a strategy for identifying assets that are resistant to panic selling.

A good starting point is to look at materials essential for endgame crafting. Top-tier gear will always be in demand, so the currencies needed to create it often hold their value better. For example, last week we saw items like Ancient Ribs, Omen of Homogenising Coronation, and Perfect Essence of Haste remain remarkably stable.

However, this is a guiding principle, not a perfect rule. You can't assume all crafting materials are safe. For instance, the Preserved Collarbone, another crafting item, dropped right alongside the basic currencies.

This is why our goal here isn't to give you a fixed list, but to teach you a method for finding these opportunities yourself. You need to look at the data, compare different item categories, and identify which ones are showing strength relative to the rest of the market. Sometimes, you'll even find a golden opportunity like the Omen of Chance, which actually gained value during the crash.

How to "Catch a Falling Knife"

"Catching a falling knife" means buying an asset while its price is dropping, hoping to buy at the absolute bottom. This is risky, but it's also where the biggest profits are made. So, how do you decide when to buy a crashing currency?

To be honest, I tried to catch the knife on Chaos Orbs this week, but I bought a little too early. I bought 60 Chaos Orbs at a price of 1.5 Exalted Orbs. My logic was based on two factors: utility and drop rate.

Utility: Chaos Orbs are essential for endgame crafting, especially with fractured items. They will always be in demand.
Drop Rate: The chance of dropping 1.5 Exalted Orbs while mapping is much lower than the chance of dropping 1 Chaos Orb.

Based on this, I felt the price was low enough. In reality, it could have gone lower. My takeaway is that you should make decisions based on an item's usefulness and rarity, but it's not a perfect science. I'm still learning too.

Summary: Turn a Crisis into an Opportunity

Don't be afraid when the market drops. A downturn is just another name for a discount. It's an opportunity for smart traders to build wealth.

Look for Stability: In a crash, find items tied to essential endgame crafts. They are more likely to hold their value.
Catch the Knife Carefully: If you're going to buy a crashing currency, base your decision on its fundamental utility and rarity, not just its price.
Use the Right Data: Making these decisions requires more than just looking at the in-game market. You need to see the historical trends to understand what's really happening.

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